Heat pumps in Arizona

Arizona is ninth in the country at 26.4% of homes, which surprises people who think of heat pumps as a cold-climate technology. It is the opposite: Phoenix averages a 106°F high in the warmest month, every home needs cooling, and a heat pump is simply the air conditioner that also handles the mild winter.

AZ

Heat pump adoption

EIA RECS 2020 microdata ↗

26.4% of Arizona homes use a heat pump as their main heat

Goal: every home

Central heat pumps and ductless mini-splits combined, counted as the home's main heating equipment.


Episodes

Recorded in Arizona

Homeowners and contractors in AZ, in their own words.


Money and next steps

What Arizona pays toward one

  • Efficiency Arizona

    The state's federally funded rebate programme for efficient HVAC and appliances. It was warning of significant changes to its guidelines following federal action — applications were still open but under revised rules, so check the current terms first.

    Program details →
  • Federal Home Energy Rebates

    The IRA rebate programs (HEAR and HOMES) survived the 2025 tax changes — they were grants to states, not tax credits. Each state runs its own, and they are at different stages: some open, some already out of money, some yet to launch. Check where Arizona stands before you count on it.

    Program details →

The federal 25C tax credit — 30% back, up to $2,000 on a heat pump — ended for systems placed in service after 31 December 2025. If you had one installed in 2025 or earlier you can still claim it; there is no successor credit. Incentives move fast, so check DSIRE for what is current in Arizona. Last checked September 2026.

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The numbers

What a heat pump here has to cover

  • 45°F

    Coldest month average low

    Phoenix · NOAA 1991–2020 normals

  • 106°F

    Warmest month average high

    Phoenix · NOAA 1991–2020 normals

Coldest month, average low Warmest month, average high

Cooling is the load that sizes the system here, and heating is the easy part — a heat pump covers it without breaking a sweat. The efficiency question is mostly about how hard the unit works in August, not January.